MAB
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Everything posted by MAB
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Here is an interesting plot, showing various probabilities. I think the maths is correct. Yellow boxes: the probability that you will be a winner either today or in the future (if you have not won so far) = number of prizes left in total / number of people left Green crosses: the probability that you will win today (if you have not won so far) = number of prizes today / number of people left Purple pluses: the probability that you will win on this specific day = probability that you have lost on all previous days x prob you will win today Blue stars: the probability that you will still be a loser after this day (if you have not won so far) = probability that you have lost on all previous days x prob you will lose today It is interesting that the probability of winning on a specific day in the future is uniform - so, for example, today the probability of winning on the 10th is the same as the probability of winning on 24th. And while the probability of being a winner today or in the future goes down, the probability of being a winner today goes up! It shows how careful you have to be with language when discussing probabliities. The probability of winning goes up, down and stays the same as the event progresses, depending on exactly how you define the problem.
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Or people like the idea of it happening for fun. Sometimes people do things for fun. For example: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-22145306. This song was about 75 years old, then suddenly entered the UK charts. Was it because people liked it but just hadn't bought it during those 75 years, or was it because they liked the idea of it causing offense? Sometimes letting the public decide something is not a good idea (like Boaty McBoatface, above). Which is why LEGO gets to veto ideas that make it to 10,000. I don't know who voted for the Peru set. It might have been a joke, it might have been real. It doesn't really matter - LEGO decided that it would not make a good set.
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Locally, nothing. Worldwide, probably not a good seller.
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Do you mean the DBG ones? If so, they are reasonably new (this year) although have been in 40+ sets already!
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That is a different shape to the one in the apartment here, presumably with a lot of the electronics and the speakers in the base. But also notice the depth - how far away from the wall it is. It is almost as far away as it is wide. CRTs have depth. They also tended to be quite small in the 1950s (as the one you posted above). You count 3. I count 1. It is a diagonal facade. If you count individual faces, then Assembly Square has 5 - or maybe 6 if you count the tower as separate.
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LEGO Star Wars 2019 Set Discussion - READ FIRST POST!!!
MAB replied to Stash2Sixx's topic in LEGO Star Wars
I think they've cancelled orders for them now, so it was obviously a mistake releasing them on S@H. -
LEGO Star Wars 2019 Set Discussion - READ FIRST POST!!!
MAB replied to Stash2Sixx's topic in LEGO Star Wars
The VIP minifigure sets were for sale on S@H earlier today, 1p (UK) / 1c (Eur) / $4.99 (US) each with a limit of 99. Item number 6278239, links to set number 5005747 but the page has now been removed. However, if you type in either number you get a preview of it. -
That TV must be a fairly modern screen inside a retro-style box. If it was a CRT based screen, it would be much deeper. I remember our wooden boxed TV from the 1970s, it was probably 75% as deep as it was wide. Plus the curved front!
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Flip those two around for me! The dark orange, yes! Lots more bricks in a colour that actually looks like bricks! Although I'd prefer medium flesh. And to me the paw print on the handle makes it look like a child's set. But at least that is easy to leave off.
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Yeah, I noticed that on the other thread after posting, although there is at least one new user that registered after the start date so there might be some un-verified entries. Although it is amazing that some of the flagged "new" IDs are actually quite old but have never posted anything. I think I spotted one entry from an ID that is five years old without a single comment! I was wondering about numbers of entries and whether they are up or down, based mainly on this thread:
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I wonder if it can be used as a jumper style part too. No doubt it will be cataloged as a turntable element at bricklink but it looks like it could have more uses.
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I don't think that is true. It would take 10000s of customers to really change the selling prices as you suggest, not just a few customers ruining prices for the majority. If the majority didn't buy, it doesn't matter what a few people buy or pay for it. LEGO would be doomed.
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To obscure the vet's signage from the front of the box is ridiculous. Who approved that? I agree it is new, but what makes it awesome? It leaves ugly great grooves running up the building. It is a shame they didn't use only dark orange parts in those grooves, as that way they wouldn't have jarred quite so much. The "wrong" colours are not even consistent in the grooves as they did the bottom left facade in a slightly different way. I guess different things for different people, but I didn't see a single minifigure I'd want from this one. OK, I know people don't buy modulars for the minfiigures, but the last two gave us some new prints - the rock star and the dentist. The mechanics overalls have already appeared in 38 different minifigures, the girl's cat torso in 5, the knitted sweater is from the Old Fishing Store, the vet's from the current hospital, and the vespa lady's jacket was from a man in the recent people pack.
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So right ... In the past five years, my stats are: 2013 day 11 2014 day 17 2015 no prize 2016 day 3 2017 day 5 The last two years I didn't check the winners list anywhere near as much as I did 2015, maybe once a week just to see who had won. An early win is good for calming the nerves but you lose the thrill of checking every day.
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There are some brilliant entries in that competition. But those ones you highlight are really deserving of something!
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I notice the girl standing next to the dead fish is really into cats. So it is obvious who wants a dead fish. And then she gets to take the bunny home. Look out Thumper, you're cat food.
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I find it quite disappointing. The large gaps creating the angled front aren't good but the mismatched coloured parts in these grooves look awful. They aren't even consistent.
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Modular Building Sets - Rumours and Discussion
MAB replied to The Jersey Brick Guy's topic in LEGO Town
Well that is officially a leak. -
You can set up wants lists at bricklink to make the process easier.
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Modular Building Sets - Rumours and Discussion
MAB replied to The Jersey Brick Guy's topic in LEGO Town
Of course, there is - maybe another 50 posts saying how long it will be before the reveal. -
Do we know the number of verified entries, and whether it is up or down compared to the last few years?
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Unlikely, unless they have a new (or the current, if it is still in place) deal with Warner Bros to use their name on the box, and their depiction of the characters.
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You know that is just practice for the real event? :-) I used to live in the Netherlands, and loved Sinterklaas time, with the chocolate letters and Black Piet throwing around kruidnoten. There is a great variety of entries this year. And Christmas spirit already with SantaMike giving more time!
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I bought series 1 for my kid, mainly as I saw it on DVD for 50p per half series. It is aimed at kids, but it actually isn't that bad. I cannot imagine AFOLs wanting to watch it, but for the sort of thing you watch with your kids, it is fine. There is a story line running through the series, but each one is pretty much self contained and usually ends with a moral or similar so ideal for kids to watch. I would imagine if LEGO did Classic Space now, and it had a TV series, it would be produced in a very similar way. I wonder if AFOLs would also hate that series too (with or without watching it)?
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I'm also of the view that kids will like them ... as they are characters in a movie, not because they are Classic Space. Rub those Classic Space logos off and put a modern one in their place, and kids will love them just as much. Build the spaceships with a different colour pallete and they will still love them even though they don't conform to the classic space scheme.