Black Falcon

I think another reason might be that the original Classic space minifigures already came in various colours and they already added more colours of them with time and people started to collect them. So it clearly made more sense to keep with the same design rather than changing it. And even some of those had different faces than the classic smile, though later they used the classic smile again. That beeing said it is an even more odd choice for me to use other faces again like they do with the Diner GWP or the two extended line sets, especially with the city minifigures avaiable that would fit better there IMO. I don´t actually think that the Castle GWPs (Majisto more than the Forestmen one, though) are much more different from their originals than the Galaxy Explorer or Blacktron cruiser- aside from the minifigures. The other Castle Sets obviously are an completely different attempt but the Eldorado Fortress to me is more in line with the Space Sets than the Castle ones, even if it might be a bit less close to the original with the added ship and the modularity.

The purple butterfly looks unprinted to me and is used as petals in the 10329 Tiny Plants Set. The small owl looks ligth than to me, but could aswell be the same as in the harry potter Set or another similar colour. Kinda hard to tell in that tiny picture

As mentioned before, the question is not if they would play with it, but whether it would be able to compete with the other themes that are on the shelves. And for that the question would be how much they would need to update the older sets to appeal enough. Either way the sets could use the old colours, but they would still look quite different from the original sets, likely more than the Galaxy Explorer update did.

I wouldn´t agree with that. I would rather say Space and Pirates are quite close to their original design, while castle is taking a different way with creating new sets instead of updating old sets - aside from GWPs at least. I would agree however, that Space is the only theme that didn´t really update the minifig design - and while for the classic space miniifgure I don´t see the need for it, I would have prefered to get an update for the blacktron minifigure.

It was clear they would be brickbuid. since we already had the information it would be a sidebuild for buckbeak and the moulded one would be way to small for it.

It does seem quite unlikey they would bring a CMF faction back, though of course you never know since the Raven Knights seem to be a very popular faction - but for that they would have to do a normal Castle theme again first.

Since they started to celebrate their Harry Potter day last year, I think it is save to asume that both the Set and the GWP will be released on September 1st.

The one you posted is actually the one that is the least appealing. Though the main issue for me would still be that it does depend a lot on which minifigs would be included. I have no interest at all in city figures, so themed sets would be the best. Like one including Classic Space minifigures in several colours, another different Castle minifigures, and one with pirate, adventure etc. Though I don´t think it is likely Lego would do such sets now, since they would need 5 printed torsos each, then maybe some printed faces or even hair pieces that are already retired. And with bringing back older minifigures in an updated way already it seems even less likely they would do something like that.

There is a difference on what their decisions what sets they are doing are based on and what they use for marketing. Basically the site lists all historical based sets including the creator pirate ship and the snow white cottage. So everything Fans of historical Sets could like. But while Lego surely also considers all other similar Sets they have in production aswell as how good other Medival themed Sets sell, I still think we have a better chance for another Space Set next year, than for another castle one.

There are way more afols today though, and also a higher demand for retro sets in general IMO. And if we are looking at the prices you have to pay for used sets in good condition - and actually for both the legends and the original version of the sets, which many are not willing to pay. The question would be in the end though, if they would do them nowadays, how many differences would be to the original ones. If we look back on last years Mysterio-GWP I would say the differences for that one were to big, and it would have benefit if they would have made more modernized version instead IMO. Honestly, for me that would maybe work with some minifigures (such as classic space or older castle minifigures) but I wouldn´t be interested in most of them and actually not in any of the ones displayed.

With how Lego went wrong and how they fixed it you mean when Lego struggled and not legends in particular, I guess? I am pretty sure if they would bring out legends Sets now, they would sell way better than they did back then. However it is very unlikely they would do that now since as already stated they won´t bring retired parts back for this and are already bringing back sets with more or less modernisations.

Kinda hard to belive it failed that bad as you make it seem. Though surely it was behind their expectations, and I think if they would do this today, there would be a higher demand for it than it was back then.

I mentioned big sets, because I think we will still get GWPs - but I wouldn´t think it is unlikely not to get another castle set next year. Sure all the sets you listed above are Medival based, though I wouldn´t count Viking Sets still, as they are not really castle - though of course surely they attract a similar group of potential buyers. But the greater issue I actually see is that I don´t think Lego considers all those sets as part of one thing. Creator is something different than Adult targeted Sets, so while the Blacksmith would count towards those the creator castle surely doesn´t. But I do think we would rather have to look at castle as part of the Icons themes here, where we got the Lion Knights Castle and the Galaxy Explorer in 2022, the Eldorado Fortress in 2023 and the Medieval Town Square this year. So I would rather think we get Space and /or Pirates next year rather than an other castle Set. Not that I would complain if we would get one anyways. Well the creator castle is the castle that aims for younger fans, though I see why that wouldn´t please you or kids who would get it completely. For me it is just lacking minifigures to be usefull as a playset really. As for the CMF, I would hope they would do that. and when the first rumours about the space series came up I speculated that we would get a castle series for next year, and also one for pirates the year after. Though after it turned out to be part of a several themes thing, I felt it would be less likely to happen. So far I am keeping my hopes low and rather get surprised in a positive way, rather than a negative - and am waiting for the Dungeons and Dragons CMF that comes after the space one. Sure that one doesn´t have yellow minifigs, but it still will have quite a lot usefull parts.

They printed the torso then, which already exists now. So they can print the shield for the Wolpack. That doesn´t mean it will have to happen but it is possible at least.

I still wouldn´t rule a wolfpack tower out, though I would agree that I don´t think they would make a remake in the sense like they did with Eldorado or Galaxy Explorer (and even less like the two Castle GWPs we got before). But I could see them creating a nice looking ruin where the wolfpack is based. In the end I think another castle or an other civilian Set are the least likely options for the next big Set and some kind of hideout for either forestmen or wolfpack doesn´t seem that unlikely. I wouldn´t rule a joust out either and actually we already got many of the parts needed there. We have two factions with Bardings and shields and I could see them including a king and maybe a princess so we would get a royal family and not only the queen from the Castle. But well, maybe Lego surprises us with something completely different next time and we will actually get something smaller for a change, like a Attack on a carriage for instance. Or a witch and a dragon, there are so many possibilities.