Wizarding World 2026 - Rumors & Discussion

[BrickBob Studpants]

26 minutes ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

[…] the AC being discontinued doesn't indicate a D2C wouldn't come.

True. It’s still possible they have something up their sleeve, but I feel we’re also running out of options unless they start remaking D2C sets. Hogsmeade was the last obvious set idea I’d say, all the other ideas people have brought up are pretty niche, like Grimmauld Place or a Quidditch Pitch

[Virginia_Bricks]

1 hour ago, BrickBob Studpants said:

True. It’s still possible they have something up their sleeve, but I feel we’re also running out of options unless they start remaking D2C sets. Hogsmeade was the last obvious set idea I’d say, all the other ideas people have brought up are pretty niche, like Grimmauld Place or a Quidditch Pitch

The Burrow is plenty niche if Grimmauld Place is niche. I would expect a play set to be remade into a D2C this year similar to the last two. Something they know sold well in the smaller format.

Edited February 20 by Virginia_Bricks

[BrickBob Studpants]

7 minutes ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

The Burrow is plenty niche if Grimmauld Place is niche. I would expect a play set to be remade into a D2C this year similar to the last two. Something they know sold well in the smaller format.

The Burrow is much less niche I’d say. It has a lot more screentime, appears in more movies, is connected to multiple main characters, serves as Harry’s second home, and is visually iconic too. Grimmauld place is important to the plot, sure, but it lacks screentime and is only really connected to Sirius. After OotP, it has one brief appearance and that’s it.

I don’t see what a D2C version could offer that the playset didn’t already  I love the playset, but really don’t need a bigger version of it

[hunnybunny]

12 hours ago, akaseim said:

Hi everybody :-) Here we are saving for our two missing sets (Main Tower and Hospital Wing) and of course the summer wave, and I would like to know when you think it's the best moment to buy whatever set. I know in September it's the Back to Hogwarts and you get a polybag and a GWP set if you buy a big set, but I've read there's also a third gift for the purchase of the collector set or something like that, and I'm not sure if this set is one of the sets we already know or it's a different set with no leaks yet. If there will be another +200€ set in September I can jump and cry at the same time :-D 

On the other side, is there any double points or gift with the summer wave? Do you think the Main Tower can get a disccount or something this year?

Thanks :-)

I usually have an alert set on a website that aggregates all local eshops so that as soon as someone discounts an item I can grab it. In the past I was able to get some sets smaller sets 50%off and bigger sets 40% off. However that is a bit of a gamble as you may also pass a window of 25-30% discount and some sets never get discounted more than that. 

I decided to collect this Hogwarts castle system as I plan it to be the end for me with the theme (not going to continue buying sets based on tv show) so in this case I'm grabbing sets as soon as I see a good enough deal. 

Interestingly I was missing both Main Tower and Hospital Wing as well but managed to get them both on German Amazon for 221 eur just two weeks ago. They had extra promotion to their regular one and I think  154 eur for Main Tower to be a good enough deal all things consider (even though personally still think it is overpriced and even big castle sets should limited to 120 eur). I still think I overpaid 67 eur for Hospital wing and eventually could have gotten a better deal but I just want to be done with it...

[RODDY]

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if they skipped the D2C altogether this year, there’s nothing really left for them to do that is well known enough to the masses that would sell well. Ministry of Magic was constantly on sale at the $100 price tag, Quidditch was shelf warming at $40, Hogwarts Icons got replaced with the movie Collector’s Edition. Even the Hogwarts Express was 5x VIP points within a year of release. I could maybe see a Diagon Alley remake with some new shops like the Leaky Cauldron or Madam Malkin’s but even then idk.

[Virginia_Bricks]

25 minutes ago, RODDY said:

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if they skipped the D2C altogether this year, there’s nothing really left for them to do that is well known enough to the masses that would sell well. Ministry of Magic was constantly on sale at the $100 price tag, Quidditch was shelf warming at $40, Hogwarts Icons got replaced with the movie Collector’s Edition. Even the Hogwarts Express was 5x VIP points within a year of release. I could maybe see a Diagon Alley remake with some new shops like the Leaky Cauldron or Madam Malkin’s but even then idk.

This is why 12 Grimmauld Place is my guess. Well above retail for a copy now that is new, even used are selling $20 USD above retail. Clearly there is demand.

I know some will say what can they include that wasn't in the play set, but honestly it might just be fleshing it out a little more. Adjusting for inflation it sold for roughly 12.5 cents per piece and being conservative the D2C could be 14 cents per piece. At $300 (which I think is a fair price for a D2C and avoids price conflict with the East Wing or Main Tower), that is 2,150 pieces or a little more than 1,000 extra pieces.

Expand it by 3 bricks in width which would better match the proportions of the actual street used so instead of 24 bricks its 27. Adjust the other dimensions to line up and the volume goes from 4,608 bricks to 6,561 bricks (though a lot of that is air). You keep the core scenes from OOP, but can add things from the books and DH (clearly Lego has the license to the books and Hogwarts legacy based on other inclusions not from the movies). Go up to 11/12 mini-figures and you can have some mix of Harry, Ron (maybe even a DH Ron), Hermione, Kreacher, Molly, Arthur, Sirius, the Twins, Kingsley, Tonks, Lupin, Snape, Ginny, Mundungus Fletcher, or maybe a few Death Eaters from DH.

Could add the Christmas at 12 Grimmauld Place scene too so its not the extendable ear scene in the kitchen.

Edited February 20 by Virginia_Bricks

[RODDY]

51 minutes ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

This is why 12 Grimmauld Place is my guess. Well above retail for a copy now that is new, even used are selling $20 USD above retail. Clearly there is demand.

I know some will say what can they include that wasn't in the play set, but honestly it might just be fleshing it out a little more. Adjusting for inflation it sold for roughly 12.5 cents per piece and being conservative the D2C could be 14 cents per piece. At $300 (which I think is a fair price for a D2C and avoids price conflict with the East Wing or Main Tower), that is 2,150 pieces or a little more than 1,000 extra pieces.

12 Grimmauld Place is an interesting pick, it’s a bit niche but the demand is definitely there in the aftermarket pricing. Crazy seeing the pricing one sealed goes for after only a couple years being retired. But I think price wise $300 is excessive especially when it’s a rung below The Burrow which is $260 in terms for being well known. If I’m pricing it maybe $200- $230?I think the one advantage that Grimmauld Place has over The Burrow has is the cross over for Modular fans, it’s way easier to integrate this into a city rather than The Burrow so maybe there’s some appeal there. And while I don’t think there’s much more to add to the playset version besides finally getting Mundungus, I do think the same of the playset version of The Burrow in comparison to its Collector’s Edition counterpart. The Burrow was more than fine without a Collector’s Edition version besides getting the entire Weasley Family which was neat. So while I personally wouldn’t be too thrilled at a prospect of a Collector’s Edition 12 Grimmauld Place, I wasn’t too thrilled of The Burrow Collector’s Edition and we still got it. So viable and likely pick, just not my favorite pick.

[Accio Lego]

To put in my own 2¢ on the D2C (and GWP):

This is an anniversary year. Lego didn’t get in on all the special logos and promotional pushes just to do one $170 set and some bonus patronuses in a few sets — they’ll want to have a fancy D2C as appealing to non-AFOLs as the Icons set was designed to be and at least one special GWP to commemorate the occasion. 
 

In that sense, we could see something entirely unexpected like the Icons set was at the time. Grimmauld Place isn’t entirely impossible either – it’s not as central to the story as you’d expect of an anniversary set, but a modular Grimmauld would let Lego include some Order of the Phoenix members’ patronuses as part of a continuation of that established anniversary extra. 
 

It’s also worth remembering that the 2021 20th anniversary gwp heavily featured the collectible chocolate frog card tiles that were introduced for that anniversary, so it’s to be expected that this year’s gwp will likely feature the 25 Years of Magic branding and might include anniversary tie ins. An unprinted recolor of an existing smaller animal sounds like it would be within the limits of a gwp, so it’s not impossible we could see something like that, in which case character choice would greatly influence the build. 
 

 

[karrit]

I'd like to see them do a D2C Leaky Cauldron.  Might be the only way we ever get one.

[brickbride]

Like it's been said before, the Burrow is considerably more important to the plot than either Grimmauld Place or rhe Leaky Cauldron. Plus one of them's a pub and the other's depressing as hell so that's one strike each right there. I can see them doing the Cauldron eventually in the context of a larger set maybe (like the Hog's Head in Hogsmeade) but not as a stand-alone set. And I think what makes Grimmauld Place so popular was the genius "hide" function but that would be hard to recreate in modular form.

The Ministry would be a much better choice for a D2C set since its only previous playset suffered from the limitations of the format, but the playset's lack of success coupled with its depressing nature might have killed its chance.

Edited February 21 by brickbride

[Roebuck]

Could be something like this and not minifigscale :

[Black Falcon]

On 2/20/2026 at 11:17 AM, akaseim said:

Thanks for the info :-) I don't used to buy from Lego but last year I missed the Room of Requirememts because I bought all the set I wanted already I don't want to plan my shopping and then miss a GWP like last year :-( 

So, I think I'm gonna buy Main Tower and Hospital Wing in another place when I get a good price and wait for the East Wing until September to see if Lego gifts something I like. I would love a class or an office form a proffesor so... maybe we are lucky :-) 

Thanks to the low thresholds the GWP was avaiable for an acceptable price on ebay etc. though. 

21 hours ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

Only that it existed last February, took another month for it being Hogsmeade to leak.

I was one who didn't doubt it even though it seemed quiet and I feel the same this year. Lego is putting out more HP sets this year and the AC being discontinued doesn't indicate a D2C wouldn't come. Especially with DA, Gringotts (in the US at least), and Icons all now retired they have room for more D2Cs in the inventory.

Yeah, I don´t think they will skip it, and when those sets leak varies from year to year anyways. I mean, best example is Jurassic World, it seemed like we would only be getting two big Sets this year, and the existence of actual playsets leaked quite late, at a point I already thought we wouldn´t get any.

19 hours ago, BrickBob Studpants said:

The Burrow is much less niche I’d say. It has a lot more screentime, appears in more movies, is connected to multiple main characters, serves as Harry’s second home, and is visually iconic too. Grimmauld place is important to the plot, sure, but it lacks screentime and is only really connected to Sirius. After OotP, it has one brief appearance and that’s it.

I don’t see what a D2C version could offer that the playset didn’t already  I love the playset, but really don’t need a bigger version of it

It hat been some years since the Set was avaiable though, so there surely is a certain number of people that didn´t get it but would buy a new version of it now - similar to the Burrow. And sure, the Burrow is more Iconic, but I wouldn´t say Grimmauld place isn´t Iconic enough to get a D2C set too.

15 hours ago, RODDY said:

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if they skipped the D2C altogether this year, there’s nothing really left for them to do that is well known enough to the masses that would sell well. Ministry of Magic was constantly on sale at the $100 price tag, Quidditch was shelf warming at $40, Hogwarts Icons got replaced with the movie Collector’s Edition. Even the Hogwarts Express was 5x VIP points within a year of release. I could maybe see a Diagon Alley remake with some new shops like the Leaky Cauldron or Madam Malkin’s but even then idk.

I actually still think Ministry of Magic would be a solid choice, as the last version was really lacking - it was just way to small to do the Ministry justice and I think that was also the reason, why it wasn´t so well received. So yeah, I would be all in for a proper Ministry.

I would actually say the same is true for Quidditch, first of all, the last proper set for it has been 2018 and then the trunk which was just bad IMO. So a proper Quidditch Set would be something many people wouldn´t be opposed to I think.

8 hours ago, karrit said:

I'd like to see them do a D2C Leaky Cauldron.  Might be the only way we ever get one.

Same here, the Cauldron was already on my guess list the last years, so until we get it, it will stay there, same as the Ministry of Magic.

4 hours ago, brickbride said:

Like it's been said before, the Burrow is considerably more important to the plot than either Grimmauld Place or rhe Leaky Cauldron. Plus one of them's a pub and the other's depressing as hell so that's one strike each right there. I can see them doing the Cauldron eventually in the context of a larger set maybe (like the Hog's Head in Hogsmeade) but not as a stand-alone set. And I think what makes Grimmauld Place so popular was the genius "hide" function but that would be hard to recreate in modular form.

The Ministry would be a much better choice for a D2C set since its only previous playset suffered from the limitations of the format, but the playset's lack of success coupled with its depressing nature might have killed its chance.

Who says that a D2C version would have to be modular, though? And I also don´t think they would omit the Cauldron just because it is a Pub. They surely wouldn´t put to much focus on that part, like naming it as such, but there have been other Sets that were made anyways. 

2 hours ago, Roebuck said:

Could be something like this and not minifigscale
 

I am still hoping for a Fawkes in a similar style. But in the end it might depend if they continue with Sets like the Philosopher Stone one for other movies, then he will probably featured there and it is less likely they would be making another similar Set.

[RODDY]

5 hours ago, Black Falcon said:

 

I actually still think Ministry of Magic would be a solid choice, as the last version was really lacking - it was just way to small to do the Ministry justice and I think that was also the reason, why it wasn´t so well received. So yeah, I would be all in for a proper Ministry.

I would actually say the same is true for Quidditch, first of all, the last proper set for it has been 2018 and then the trunk which was just bad IMO. So a proper Quidditch Set would be something many people wouldn´t be opposed to I think.

The Ministry is actually the one I want to see most and the one I’m rooting for them to make (with an Umbridge’s Office GWP of course, this is my new agenda and it’s the last room that is yet to be remade since the 2018 reboot). I think with the fig lineup alone with Dumbledore’s Army, Death Eaters, and Order Of The Phoenix would be worth it, nevertheless all the cool dueling scenes and fights. But I don’t think Lego will make it for a couple of reasons. First it’s got Sirius Black’s death and it maybe something they tried to avoid, hence why they made the Deathly Hallows version last time even if it’s less iconic. The other would be the layout of the set, making it into a more unified structure rather than a hodge podge of side builds which are rarely well received for big sets like The Shire or Assault on Hoth (I actually don’t mind these sets myself, just what the consensus) for connecting stuff like the Veil or the Room of Prophecies and the front entrance. And lastly I think the sales of the 2022 Ministry of Magic would turn them off, selling a $100 set is one thing but a $400-$500 is a different beast. Sales be damned I hope they do it cause I want it. 

[Virginia_Bricks]

3 hours ago, RODDY said:

The Ministry is actually the one I want to see most and the one I’m rooting for them to make (with an Umbridge’s Office GWP of course, this is my new agenda and it’s the last room that is yet to be remade since the 2018 reboot). I think with the fig lineup alone with Dumbledore’s Army, Death Eaters, and Order Of The Phoenix would be worth it, nevertheless all the cool dueling scenes and fights. But I don’t think Lego will make it for a couple of reasons. First it’s got Sirius Black’s death and it maybe something they tried to avoid, hence why they made the Deathly Hallows version last time even if it’s less iconic. The other would be the layout of the set, making it into a more unified structure rather than a hodge podge of side builds which are rarely well received for big sets like The Shire or Assault on Hoth (I actually don’t mind these sets myself, just what the consensus) for connecting stuff like the Veil or the Room of Prophecies and the front entrance. And lastly I think the sales of the 2022 Ministry of Magic would turn them off, selling a $100 set is one thing but a $400-$500 is a different beast. Sales be damned I hope they do it cause I want it. 

They did Dobby’s death scene, so Black doesn’t seem to be the reason. I think as you mention is how do you tie all the difference scenes together.

Edited February 21 by Virginia_Bricks

[RODDY]

42 minutes ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

They did Dobby’s death scene, so Black doesn’t seem to be the reason. I think as you mention is how do you tie all the difference scenes together.

Yea you know what that’s a very good point, I kinda forget how macabre Lego Harry Potter can be at times. 

[Accio Lego]

1 hour ago, Virginia_Bricks said:

They did Dobby’s death scene, so Black doesn’t seem to be the reason. I think as you mention is how do you tie all the difference scenes together.

Technically, Dobby doesn’t die until Shell Cottage, which hasn’t been done yet, so having him in Malfoy Manor is sort of a ‘Third task Cedric in the CMF’ kinda thing. 
 

What’s dark about Malfoy Manor is that you can recreate the Hermione torture scene. 

[brickbride]

19 hours ago, Black Falcon said:

Who says that a D2C version would have to be modular, though? And I also don´t think they would omit the Cauldron just because it is a Pub. They surely wouldn´t put to much focus on that part, like naming it as such, but there have been other Sets that were made anyways. 

Yes that's what I've said - they might well give us the Cauldron in a bigger set (like the Hog's Head) but I cannot see them dedicating an entire D2C to a pub. As for Grimmauld Place, people here had suggested making it modular as a way of improving on the playset while also ensuring that non-HP modular building fans might buy it. But that would probably mean getting rid of the "hide" feature which IMO is what made the set popular in the first place.

With Icons (which was well-received IMO) retiring and LEGO's general obsession with brick-built creatures and objects, something like that seems to me the most likely for a D2C. The only other one that's recently retired AND was overwhelmingly well-received is Diagon Alley, and Hogsmeade last year has already shown us that we won't get anything like that again due to LEGOflation. If they redid the set brick by brick and minifig by minifig, it would probably be at least EUR 600 now.

The Ministry would make a ton of sense from a design perspective but again, I think the location's overall dreariness and the poor reception of the playset are strikes against it. And I've argued against a Quidditch Pitch before due to how boring and repetitive the build would be and due to the necessary minifigure selection.

The other thing I could see would be them giving us a new Hogwarts Express; not like the previous D2C (which was poorly-received IMO) but like what everyone had hoped for back then - motorized, with King's Cross, which would also appeal to LEGO train fans. (And which might explain why the Hogsmeade Station set has already retired with no replacement so far - for something like the HE which is a cornerstone of the Wizarding World I find that very odd, given how many versions LEGO make at the same time of, say, That Damn Car.)

Edited February 22 by brickbride

[Black Falcon]

4 hours ago, brickbride said:

Yes that's what I've said - they might well give us the Cauldron in a bigger set (like the Hog's Head) but I cannot see them dedicating an entire D2C to a pub. As for Grimmauld Place, people here had suggested making it modular as a way of improving on the playset while also ensuring that non-HP modular building fans might buy it. But that would probably mean getting rid of the "hide" feature which IMO is what made the set popular in the first place.

Personally, neither the Cauldron alone, nor paired with another Set would really surprise me. What probably speaks most against the Cauldron is Gringotts retiring before it would even release, which would be a strange choice, but on the other side not impossible either - and if it wouldn´t be part of the Modular System, it would probably release under the DA playset line and not as big D2C set, the later certainly beeing what I would prefer.

4 hours ago, brickbride said:

The Ministry would make a ton of sense from a design perspective but again, I think the location's overall dreariness and the poor reception of the playset are strikes against it. And I've argued against a Quidditch Pitch before due to how boring and repetitive the build would be and due to the necessary minifigure selection.

Lego have shown plenty of times that they don´t jump on conclusions about how well a single set did, so I don´t think that the playscale version has much influence on whether they would make a D2C one or not, and if it would probably even rather be, that it makes more sense to make such a set, because people clearly didn´t like the set we got, which also means more people would buy a potential new Set compared to when they were happy with what they got.

4 hours ago, brickbride said:

The other thing I could see would be them giving us a new Hogwarts Express; not like the previous D2C (which was poorly-received IMO) but like what everyone had hoped for back then - motorized, with King's Cross, which would also appeal to LEGO train fans. (And which might explain why the Hogsmeade Station set has already retired with no replacement so far - for something like the HE which is a cornerstone of the Wizarding World I find that very odd, given how many versions LEGO make at the same time of, say, That Damn Car.)

The main problem with the Hogwarts Express probably was, that there were already so many smaller and cheaper versions, that many people didn´t really see the need for it - I mean, personally, the only appeal it had to me, was the adult minifigures, and then it wasn´t even the complete batch - that and it also would have needed a lot space, which is probably the main problem for people today anyways. So of all the things they could do, Hogwarts Express is probably the last thing I would expect to happen, even more so, if we are really getting sets for the series rather of the movies next year, which still has to be seen, but then Hogwarts Express would probably one of the first sets to be made.

[brickbride]

1 hour ago, Black Falcon said:

Lego have shown plenty of times that they don´t jump on conclusions about how well a single set did, so I don´t think that the playscale version has much influence on whether they would make a D2C one or not

What is your source for this? We don't have LEGO's sales figures but IMO that's exactly what they do. For example I very much doubt we'd have gotten either Gringotts or the playset DA if the D2C DA hadn't sold well. And vehicles like the Knight Bus and That Damn Car keep getting remade because they're popular with kids despite not being very important to the story overall (and not really benefitting from being remade either).

The Ministry has only been made once during the theme's runtime and that set wasn't well-received. Why would LEGO stake a D2C on it? 

Grimmauld Place and the Leaky Cauldron are outliers as well, I doubt we'd get D2C versions of those as stand-alones. At least with both Gringotts and Hogsmeade we had prior well-received sets AND thene park appeal which made them both less risky.

Edited February 22 by brickbride

[Black Falcon]

12 minutes ago, brickbride said:

What is your source for this? We don't have LEGO's sales figures but IMO that's exactly what they do. For example I very much doubt we'd have gotten either Gringotts or the playset DA if the D2C DA hadn't sold well.

I was talking about a set not doing well, compared to other sets in a theme. If something is doing well it is pretty clear that people like it. But if something isn´t but other Sets of the theme are, you just don´t know if people didn´t care about the Ministry or they just didn´t like the set, to keep with that example. 

12 minutes ago, brickbride said:

And vehicles like the Knight Bus and That Damn Car keep getting remade because they're popular with kids despite not being very important to the story overall (and not really benefitting from being remade either).

We actually didn´t get that many of either of them. The Knight bus got two versions since the relaunch, so not even every Castle System had one. And the car was once included with the Whomping Willow in the first System, then with Privet Drive and now as Standalone Set, so basically once every System (though Privet Drive was actually released in the last year of the first system). Well and then the Display one, if we want to call it that - but you can´t really say either of those vehilces are really made that often. And I would also disagree on not benefitting from beeing remade, at least for me the new Ford Anglia looks better than the two older versions and same with the Knights bus. But of course tastes are different. 

12 minutes ago, brickbride said:

The Ministry has only been made once during the thene's runtime and that set wasn't well-received. Why would LEGO stake a D2C on it? 

Grimmauld Place and the Leaky Cauldron are all outliers as well, I doubt we'd get D2C versions of those at least as stand-alones. At least with both Gringotts and Hogsmeade we had prior well-received sets AND thene park appeal which made them both less risky.

I doubt that Lego cares much about that theme Park, most people that buy the sets probably don´t even know that thing exists, or were even there. But sure it is an easy reference to base builds of - but honestly would be really surprised if the Cauldron isn´t included in there aswell, at least it is the Entrance to Diagon Alley and as such also very Iconic.

[BrickBob Studpants]

18 minutes ago, Black Falcon said:

I doubt that Lego cares much about that theme Park […]

They do use it for reference tho  The Ukrainian Ironbelly peing perched atop Gringotts is more inspired by the park than the scene in the movie I‘d say, and isn‘t the Owl Post entirely based on the park?

As for the D2C discussion: unless they remake an already existing set, I have to say a Quidditch Pitch isn‘t the worst idea. I‘ve argued against it before and still would be far from excited if it got made, but I‘ll take something new over a remake any day

And speaking of remakes: My stance on the show has softened a bit recently, but I still dislike how similar things look from what we‘ve seen so far. I get it, they wanna provide some member-berries and don‘t wanna fix things that aren‘t broken since the movie designs are already close to the books, but come on. Hagrid looks like they just stole the original costume from the WB Studio Tour in Leavesden, and the Hogwarts Express looks nearly identical too. They at least could‘ve given it a different shade of red! At least Dumbledore looks different, thankfully.

I‘d be way more optimistic if they tried harder to visually separate the show from the movies. You can‘t insist that the show is a fresh adaptation and not a remake, but then reuse so many movie designs

We‘ll see. If the show‘s good, we‘ll have two good adaptations, and if it sucks, the movies will still be there ^^ 

[brickbride]

46 minutes ago, Black Falcon said:

I was talking about a set not doing well, compared to other sets in a theme. If something is doing well it is pretty clear that people like it. But if something isn´t but other Sets of the theme are, you just don´t know if people didn´t care about the Ministry or they just didn´t like the set, to keep with that example. 

I doubt that Lego cares much about that theme Park, most people that buy the sets probably don´t even know that thing exists, or were even there. But sure it is an easy reference to base builds of - but honestly would be really surprised if the Cauldron isn´t included in there aswell, at least it is the Entrance to Diagon Alley and as such also very Iconic.

Again, we've hardly ever had a big D2C (unless you count the 2012 Diagon Alley which was fairly ground-breaking, but I'm talking after the reboot) that didn't have some pedigree:

- Hogwarts in microscale (2018) was groundbreaking as well, but Hogwarts Castle is THE focal point of the entire franchise, and had had numerous sets before it; the risky part was making it microscale but the fact that a whole castle would sell was kind of a no-brainer
- Diagon Alley (2020) was a successor to the popular 2012 Diagon Alley (the first HP D2C, which also included Gringotts AND was DH based) and so had reasonable expectations of doing as well as that one
- Hogwarts Express (2022) is, again, one of the most iconic aspects of the franchise, and Hogwarts Expresses had been a staple of the LEGO theme from the beginning; the execution left something to be desired but demand for a Hogwarts Express was clearly there
- Gringotts (2023) had been part of the popular 2012 Diagon Alley and was probably the most anticipated HP D2C ever (people had been clamouring for Gringotts pretty much as soon as the 2020 Diagon Alley had come out in order to complete it!); even then I'm pretty sure LEGO took initial sales for Diagon Alley in consideration before greenlighting it
- The Burrow (2024) is, again, a staple of the theme: a beloved and plot-relevant location with iconic architecture filled with beloved characters
- Hogsmeade (2025) had one successful playset to its name, but I doubt it would have been made if not for a) the success of Diagon Alley and b) the theme park connection

The outlier is Hogwarts Icons (2021) which was a new and unique concept (for a HP D2C). But as far as buildings/locations go LEGO seem to be playing it fairly safe. Which is why I don't think anything like the Ministry (a grim and depressing location, one playset that wasn't well-received), Azkaban (an even grimmer and more depressing location, has never been officially made in LEGO form, also how much time do you want to spend just stacking up up grey bricks?), or a Quidditch Pitch (there've been Quidditch sets but those were very clearly focused on the play not the display aspect, the build would be repetitive and unless you add a ton of minifigs everyone will complain about the selection) will be made as a D2C anytime soon. Nor will any invididual DA buildings like the Leaky Cauldron.

Edited February 22 by brickbride

[BrickBob Studpants]

18 minutes ago, brickbride said:

Again, we've hardly ever had a big D2C (unless you count the 2012 Diagon Alley which was fairly ground-breaking […]

I was recently looking into my comment history for the first time, and came across a post of mine after HP was finished and got replaced by LOTR. I expressed my gratitude for what we got in 2010 and 11 and called the 2011 DA my favourite D2C set of all time, which is very cute in hindsight  

Don‘t get me wrong, those were two really good years for HP, but man were the sets surface-level compared to what we‘re getting in the second reboot! DA was a really good set for its day and has aged pretty well, but nowadays we get regular retail sets on that level, and today’s D2C sets play in a different league altogether

[RODDY]

11 hours ago, brickbride said:

Yes that's what I've said - they might well give us the Cauldron in a bigger set (like the Hog's Head) but I cannot see them dedicating an entire D2C to a pub. As for Grimmauld Place, people here had suggested making it modular as a way of improving on the playset while also ensuring that non-HP modular building fans might buy it. But that would probably mean getting rid of the "hide" feature which IMO is what made the set popular in the first place.

With Icons (which was well-received IMO) retiring and LEGO's general obsession with brick-built creatures and objects, something like that seems to me the most likely for a D2C. The only other one that's recently retired AND was overwhelmingly well-received is Diagon Alley, and Hogsmeade last year has already shown us that we won't get anything like that again due to LEGOflation. If they redid the set brick by brick and minifig by minifig, it would probably be at least EUR 600 now.

I think even a Hogwarts Icons type set isn’t likely imo because the new successor to that is the Philosopher’s Stone Collector’s Edition set that came out in January. Could see them doing one for every book (Would really love a Chamber of Secrets version)
I think the safe pick if you are a betting man is a Diagon Alley revamp even if it may have less shops, unless they doing something really out of left field.
They can just have it based on Philosophers Stone and keep some essential shops like Ollivanders & QQS for those who didn’t get the old one while including the Leaky Cauldron, Madame Malkins, and Eeylops Owl Emporium to entice people who have the old ones. 
Which is already one shop less to combat the inflation and imagine most of those shops wouldn’t need huge real estate except the Cauldron and QQS.Kinda like how the Hogsmeade had Hogs Head and Zonkos to entice old buyers who had the original playset (and it worked on me damnit). 

4 hours ago, Black Falcon said:

Personally, neither the Cauldron alone, nor paired with another Set would really surprise me. What probably speaks most against the Cauldron is Gringotts retiring before it would even release, which would be a strange choice, but on the other side not impossible either - and if it wouldn´t be part of the Modular System, it would probably release under the DA playset line and not as big D2C set, the later certainly beeing what I would prefer.

I actually don’t think this is a mark against it. The Diagon Alley D2C sold for four years without Gringotts (dark times indeed without a complete street) but did extremely well. Diagon Alley has more than proven it can stand alone without its centerpiece. Or maybe they even include it in a remake, you never know. 

[Black Falcon]

2 hours ago, BrickBob Studpants said:

They do use it for reference tho  The Ukrainian Ironbelly peing perched atop Gringotts is more inspired by the park than the scene in the movie I‘d say, and isn‘t the Owl Post entirely based on the park?

You literally cut the part where I wrote that it is an easy reference but the point is, they could include everything from the movies and yes, maybe everything shown in the park too, but that doesn´t mean they can´t show something just because it isn´t in the park ;).

2 hours ago, BrickBob Studpants said:

I‘d be way more optimistic if they tried harder to visually separate the show from the movies. You can‘t insist that the show is a fresh adaptation and not a remake, but then reuse so many movie designs

We‘ll see. If the show‘s good, we‘ll have two good adaptations, and if it sucks, the movies will still be there ^^ 

At least the show has the ability to use one Hogwarts and not change it from Film to Film (or series to series). Never understood why they didn´t think this more though for the films...

2 hours ago, brickbride said:

Again, we've hardly ever had a big D2C (unless you count the 2012 Diagon Alley which was fairly ground-breaking, but I'm talking after the reboot) that didn't have some pedigree:

Lego wouldn´t be Lego, if they wouldn´t try new Stuff from time to time, like you mentioned yourself with Hogwarts Icons. That beeing said, it is hard to predict what they are going to do, and to me, all mentioned options seem not impossible. It could aswell just be soemthing else, noone mentioned here, of course.

2 hours ago, brickbride said:

- Hogsmeade (2025) had one successful playset to its name, but I doubt it would have been made if not for a) the success of Diagon Alley and b) the theme park connection

I would disagree here. Hogsmeade is in itself an important location of the franchise and also has been, like Gringotts , often been mentioned as potetial Set before it was made. And in the end, I do think Lego also considers what people would want to have as a Set.

2 hours ago, brickbride said:

The outlier is Hogwarts Icons (2021) which was a new and unique concept (for a HP D2C). But as far as buildings/locations go LEGO seem to be playing it fairly safe. Which is why I don't think anything like the Ministry (a grim and depressing location, one playset that wasn't well-received), Azkaban (an even grimmer and more depressing location, has never been officially made in LEGO form, also how much time do you want to spend just stacking up up grey bricks?), or a Quidditch Pitch (there've been Quidditch sets but those were very clearly focused on the play not the display aspect, the build would be repetitive and unless you add a ton of minifigs everyone will complain about the selection) will be made as a D2C anytime soon. Nor will any invididual DA buildings like the Leaky Cauldron.

Where does Azkaban come from now? I haven´t heard anyone mention it here, though of course easy to miss with the number of posts. But yeah, from all the options that would be the most unlikely one. But aside from that point, I simply have to agree to disagree with you ;).