I think the Harry Potter minifigure is the one from the Taskmaster episode where Greg Davies asks him to wear the most controversial thing he can find.
Seriously though, we don't know which variant were getting. The red arms and shoulder printings do suggest it's the tent version but, then again, it could just be that Lego are cheap and didn't dual mould red and black arms or did their own mix of designs. Only Lego can say for sure.
So, to paraphrase Lucius: Now, now boys, let's play nicely.