ColletArrow Posted December 6, 2018 1 hour ago, MAB said: It shows how careful you have to be with language when discussing probabliities. The probability of winning goes up, down and stays the same as the event progresses, depending on exactly how you define the problem. This is why you don't let a Civil Engineer do statistics! At least I was correct in part, just it was only *one* part of many. I'll add your points to the sheet at some point, but at the rate my workload is increasing it won't be until next year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kjm161 Posted December 6, 2018 Horray, I got a manatee! Thanks for doing this again CopMike and Siegfried. Happy Holidays! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hive Posted December 6, 2018 Fun competition, thanks to those involved with it. I'm excited to see what I won. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Pdaitabird Posted December 6, 2018 Thanks for running this raffle and merry Christmas! 35 minutes ago, Hive said: Fun competition, thanks to those involved with it. I'm excited to see what I won. So am I, as it's probably too hard to ship an actual manatee...we'd better start building saltwater tanks just in case! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MAB Posted December 6, 2018 7 hours ago, ColletArrow said: This is why you don't let a Civil Engineer do statistics! At least I was correct in part, just it was only *one* part of many. I'll add your points to the sheet at some point, but at the rate my workload is increasing it won't be until next year. Or politicians or journalists. They can decide what they want people to think then come up with the statistic they need to prove why. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Legolost Posted December 6, 2018 Wow, my first time and I won! Thanks for doing this! Happy Holidays, everyone! When do we find out what we won? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LucasLaughing Posted December 7, 2018 Sweet - I won a manatee! Thanks CopMike!! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Garmetrowolf Posted December 7, 2018 (edited) Thanks @CopMike! Edited December 7, 2018 by Garmetrowolf Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LB2341 Posted December 7, 2018 Yes! Prize F, thanks @CopMike! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kalais Posted December 7, 2018 w00t, i got same prize as you guys - the huge manatee :) Thx CopMike! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheLegoDr Posted December 8, 2018 (edited) Thanks for doing this raffle. I always look forward to it. It's fun/neat to see what people come up with. And the wait is exciting and frustrating on the countdown. Edited December 8, 2018 by TheLegoDr Typo Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Legocity2713 Posted December 8, 2018 Prize F! Love this tradition! Thank you so much CopMike! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Andy D Posted December 8, 2018 Wow! Winner, winner, chicken dinner! Prize E on day 8! Thanks @CopMike and @Sigfreid this is a fun contest/distracting each year to see what everyone comes up with. This year is particularly significant for me, completing 7 weeks of radiation therapy next week. Andy D Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Legolost Posted December 9, 2018 (edited) This is such an awesome tradition! Edited December 9, 2018 by Legolost Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dr_spock Posted December 10, 2018 Avast, Prize C on Day 8. Pirate Santa Claus gets a manatee for Xmas dinner. Thank you very much, CopMike. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
carebear Posted December 10, 2018 I won a manatee Thanx CopMike Greetings! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BaraSH Posted December 10, 2018 Coolcoolcool! I won manatee C (just like in the last year raffle) on the day 7. Congrats to the winners and good luck to all who hasn't won yet. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Siegfried Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/6/2018 at 8:24 AM, tman684 said: Apologies if this is not an appropriate place to ask, but the 2011 calendar is not linked like the other past calendars are, is there someplace where I can see what the prizes were? I don't remember what I won that year I'll get around to it eventually. I've got all the backups here. It's a bit of bother doing it though.... I didn't always archive these, and when this whole thing started I didn't expect for it to keep going! Looking at the code you were in section "C" so I think it was; On other issues, the Calendar should now be correct and complete... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jefry Been Posted December 11, 2018 Today won prize E. What is the prize? Sorry, it's my first time) Thanks in advance)) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MAB Posted December 11, 2018 Nobody knows yet. It is usually 3-5 themed minifigures or similar but it depends what LEGO supplies. I'm sure copmike will post once he knows, hopefully with a few partial reveals first as a teaser. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Garmetrowolf Posted December 11, 2018 5 hours ago, Jefry Been said: Today won prize E. What is the prize? Sorry, it's my first time) Thanks in advance)) I second what @MAB said. He will usually announce what people have won in this forum before shipping everything off. The prizes are always good. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yooha Posted December 12, 2018 Yuhu, this is the 1st time I win a manatee! Earlier I always won some already-known minifigs, but it is more excited. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jefry Been Posted December 12, 2018 22 hours ago, MAB said: Nobody knows yet. It is usually 3-5 themed minifigures or similar but it depends what LEGO supplies. I'm sure copmike will post once he knows, hopefully with a few partial reveals first as a teaser. Oh , sounds good! Thanks) 19 hours ago, Garmetrowolf said: I second what @MAB said. He will usually announce what people have won in this forum before shipping everything off. The prizes are always good. Thanks) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LegoFjotten Posted December 12, 2018 Nice! After a 3 year drought I'm swimming in a C of prizes! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Garmetrowolf Posted December 12, 2018 8 hours ago, Jefry Been said: Oh , sounds good! Thanks) Thanks) You are welcome. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites