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Posted

Indeed, over the last few years what I've seen happening is that TLG is releasing these enormous D2C sets, like the Hellcarrier, GBHQ, the Disney Castle.

They are spectacular sets, but the trend has been to more expensive sets overall. I'm not talking necessarily about value (although I believe that's true also), but affordability of sets. Take the architecture theme; it went from $20 sets of dubious value to some enormous sets that may have provided better value, but were not affordable to a lot of people that would otherwise be interested in the smaller builds.

Inflation has been quite low lately (if you believe the US government). A $70 premium over the IFS demands a lot more, but given the trend lately, while I'm sure it'll be a gorgeous build, I'm guessing that you're not going to get a (roughly) 30% more substantial set.

I think a lot of recent sets do suggest that prices have stayed at least somewhat consistent with the amount of substance you get. Many people thought Metalbeard's Sea Cow was surprisingly expensive at $250, but it was 47% bigger than IFS by weight and 67% bigger by piece count despite less than a 40% increase in sticker price. A lot of people think LEGO "cheats" piece counts by using smaller pieces, but it's hard to argue that the weight increase doesn't amount to increased substance.

And the Disney Castle, at 5700 grams and 4080 pieces, is 49% bigger than the Sea Cow by both weight AND piece count — despite likewise having just a 40% higher price. So even with the Disney license, its increase in price is buoyed by an even greater increase in substance.

A lot of people see the price hike on the Death Star as all the proof they need that LEGO is cheating buyers by charging more than the substance of a set justifies. But the original 10188 Death Star, like the Green Grocer, Taj Mahal, and Castle Giant Chess Set released the same year, was extraordinarily cheap for its weight in bricks. The Death Star weighed 8060 grams — that's 3.11 times the weight of the Cafe Corner or Imperial Flagship.

Why were so many huge sets released for such low prices in 2008? Hard to say, but it could have been the LEGO Group trying to hastily adapt to the ongoing financial crisis that had first become apparent in 2007, thinking that demand for LEGO would crash unless they offered more bricks for less money. Presumably, once it was clear that demand for LEGO was stable, they went back to prices more on par with what they had been in 2007, giving Fire Brigade the same sticker price as Green Grocer but with the substantially higher price per gram of Cafe Corner. Consequently, if the Death Star were released in 2007 or 2009, then it might've cost as much as $450, and a $500 price tag in 2016 wouldn't seem so bad.

Posted (edited)

I agree - I haven't weighed the sets (although I know the weights are out there), and as I said in my last paragraph, if it really is that much better - 30% more substantial, perhaps, I will make every effort to get it. I am a very happy owner of the IFS, and the Black Pearl, and the QAR; I've recently been selling off sets because of lack of space (for both storing sets and showing built ones), but the ships are just too beautiful.

I guess I can just see it being either way - a 30% premium for just some cosmetic changes, or it could be a substantial upgrade more than worth the price increase - but it seems to me that, while I realize TLG has always had a couple of large, very expensive sets out at any given time, that the quantity of these enormous and expensive sets can be off-putting to people. As long as people are paying, though, it's easier for them to make money selling fewer, but more expensive sets than selling more smaller, cheaper sets.

Edited by fred67
Posted

Making a UCS Black Pearl would be cool but wouldn't fit with any other previous ships in terms of scale, so my bets on the Flying Dutchman (which is also my personal preference).

Posted

The problem with this idea is the fact that those other ships came out 5 years ago. There is a whole new generation out now. Also most people from what I gathered missed the old ships

Posted
5 hours ago, azog said:

The problem with this idea is the fact that those other ships came out 5 years ago. There is a whole new generation out now. Also most people from what I gathered missed the old ships

I wasn't just talking about the POTC ships though.  I feel that a UCS Black Pearl would be breaking a consistency we have had with all the previous ships.  You can set just about any two previous ships together and will not feel the scales are off (for what they are) but a UCS set probably will not fit unless done just right.  Don't get me wrong, I would love a UCS BP but unless there is another UCS ship I don't see it happening.

Posted

How certain are we that the rumor is about a Pirates of The Caribbean ship?

Could it have been "A Disney Ship" which could be a mislabeled Nautilus from 20,000 Leagues Under The Sea, which was also a non-passed IDEAS project, just like the supposed Flying Dutchman?

It's a long shot, and I'm fairly certain that's not what's up, but it's just wishful thinking.

Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, BrickHat said:

Good to know. Arghhh more sets would be nice... :cry_sad:

More sets would be amazing news,especially them being more cheaper than the D2C set.But honestly even if we don't get more sets than one it's better than nothing.

Edited by LOTR34
Posted

Good good good. Finally a set potentially worth buying and getting me out of my dark ages again. Honestly I would even be willing to spend 300 euros, as long as it is a beautiful, detailed ship with fantastic minifigs :pir-sweet:

Posted (edited)
On 30/9/2016 at 6:03 PM, BrickHat said:

Trying to see what's coming up is always a waiting game. I've gotten used to it. :tongue:

I think I'll never truly get used to it.Patience isn't my strongest suit.

Edited by LOTR34
Posted
2 minutes ago, BrickHat said:

Well, better get used to it, because that's life as an AFOL. :wink:

Indeed,you either roll with it or get drag along with it.An AFOL's requires alot of cash and patience.

Posted

Here's a look at 2 of the new ships in the movie. It's not to talk about the movie but surely it's relevant to set speculation.

 

Posted

This trailer really makes me hope for more sets,I mean just imagine all the potentials sets and minifigures we could get.Talking about the teaser now it was great overall but I especially loved the music.

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