The Forest II: Day One
#201
Posted 23 August 2012 - 04:26 PM
So therefor I Vote: Casey Cat.
TWISTED TALES
Jeanie Bueller, The Stoner in Darkdragons Aperture Academy Mafia School
#203
Posted 23 August 2012 - 04:55 PM
Tamamono, on 23 August 2012 - 04:20 PM, said:
Even if the ones I call out for inactivity only speak one more time a day, they'll be saying something. And that's one more statement for us to analyze later. You can do as you like, just don't think I'm going to follow your lead. You of all people may not realize this but I'm not a sheep. I can think for myself and I'm my own woman. I've built a grocery empire up from a simple corner store. This bitch has brains.
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#204
Posted 23 August 2012 - 05:34 PM
How stoopid of me to get the format wrong...
TWISTED TALES
Jeanie Bueller, The Stoner in Darkdragons Aperture Academy Mafia School
#205
Posted 23 August 2012 - 06:46 PM
Scouty, on 22 August 2012 - 05:42 PM, said:
Quote
Scouty, on 22 August 2012 - 06:32 PM, said:
darkdragon, on 22 August 2012 - 08:13 PM, said:
Tamamono, on 23 August 2012 - 01:20 AM, said:
Quarryman, on 23 August 2012 - 12:44 PM, said:
More people being voted for => more reactions => more information.
CorneliusMurdock, on 23 August 2012 - 02:57 PM, said:
Unvote: Bristol Bunny (Bob)
Vote: Wallace Walrus (Masked Builder)
Say something Wallace. Let us know you're still around. Get up and do jumping jacks, anything.
Tamamono, on 23 August 2012 - 04:20 PM, said:
Personally I consider Casey Cat's behaviour to be most suspicious, because - as I indicated earlier - she clearly seemed to want to steer attention away from Petey. But I also don't understand Petey's overly defensive reaction and contacting people privately before a single vote had been cast. Pennie is acting weird, although not much weirder than back in Spring Haven, but I honestly can't see a member of the Cultists draw attention to themselves by insisting on 'leading the lynch'
If we decide to lynch either Casey or Petey and they turn out to be a Cultist, it becomes more likely the other is a Cultist too (especially in the case of Casey). If Casey turns out to be a Villager, that won't tell us much about Petey's allegiance though. However, when Petey turns out to be a Villager, that makes it likely Casey is a Villager too, because a Cultist would be happy with all the attention on a Villager like Petey (unless Casey's trying really hard to appear 'Village' of course). So, ironically, while I think Casey has been acting scummier than Petey, and wouldn't mind seeing her lynched, I think we'll learn slightly more from lynching Petey.
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#206
Posted 23 August 2012 - 07:28 PM
Rick, on 23 August 2012 - 06:46 PM, said:
This actually BAWK makes a lot of sense to me. We need to deal with the two of them, and this will allow us to get the most information out of the situation. However, I still feel strongly that they're both town, so I won't change my vote, as it is currently doing no harm resting on Bristol. I can't really see the cultists trying to BAWK draw this much attention to themselves on the first day. On top of that, neither of them is panicking a lot, which is another big cultist tell. If anything they got calmer after accused.
#207
Posted 23 August 2012 - 07:47 PM
Bristol Bunny (Bob): 1 votes (Zepher)
Petey Panda (darkdragon): 1 vote (Eskallon)
Casey Cat (Scouty): 4 votes (Scubacarrot, Tamamono, Professor Flitwick, badboytje88)
Pennie Pig (Eskallon): 4 votes (Dannylonglegs, JimButcher, Sandy, Cecilie)
Wallace Walrus (Masked Builder): 1 vote (CorneliusMurdock)
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#208
Posted 23 August 2012 - 07:57 PM
I agree with you, there's not been a whole lot that jumps out to me as scummy, of course some people I find more suspicious than others but it's hard for me to put it all the pieces together to see which one is more likely scum. My initial suspicion against Pennie was her quickly jumping on Petey after Gordon's initial suspicion that combined with the fact that he seemed to be making a big deal about he being the one to lead the charge against her. Seamus is right in that for a scum, she would be in an ideal position the next day as she could claim that Petey was acting wierd anyways and deserved being lynched. However her continual tunnel vision after this fact has been brought up, make me think she is town as I have often found evil people to be rather wishy washy and sway with the feelings of the crowd. Casey is basically in the same boat as I am though albeit he has been more talkative, as both of us were contacted by Petey after we demonstrated that we weren't willing to put much weight into the initial argument that he was being "too defensive". While Petey's behavior is consistant with my past dealings with him (i.e. his nervous, takes everything out proportion attitude) as Seamus has also noted, I can't help but shake the doubt that makes me wonder why Petey was so definite he was going to be lynched when no one had even placed a single vote against him yet. So where does that leave us?
Petey: Too defensive
Pennie: Tunnel vision
Casey: Wishy-washy
What do we learn from lynching any of them?
If Petey is scum, then it doesn't lead us to the next one as I see no reason why he would contact either Casey or myself since he would have scummy partners who could come out and try and draw attention away from him without resorting to PM's for help.
If Pennie is scum, then it makes those who agreed with her, specifically Gordon who is now defending her and was in on the original suspicion against Petey, possibly scum.
If Casey is scum, then it also doesn't lead us to the next scum, as again Petey had no reason to contact both Casey and I privately since they were both mafia in cahoots.
Feel free to point out where I am missing something, but this is how I see it currently.
I'm not with the crowd who is against voting and neither am I for those who are wasting their votes trying to get the quieter ones to speak. If we really want to get them to pipe up, they have to feel their in danger and 1 or even 2 votes are not going to do that, especially when there are more eligable canadites being voted upon. The day isn't done yet and we can still come to a more concrete decision, until that time, I'll hold my vote but will eventually apply it.
#209
Posted 23 August 2012 - 08:12 PM
Zepher, on 23 August 2012 - 07:28 PM, said:
Waterbrick Down, on 23 August 2012 - 07:57 PM, said:
If Petey is scum, then it doesn't lead us to the next one as I see no reason why he would contact either Casey or myself since he would have scummy partners who could come out and try and draw attention away from him without resorting to PM's for help.
Quote
Quote
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#210
Posted 23 August 2012 - 08:34 PM
There would be no need for Petey to contact Casey if they were both scum; granted, we have (and will likely never have, given the new rules) no evidence that such contact did occur; but then, why would Casey mention it at all? It's a connection that two scum would be keen to avoid.
For this reason alone, I think there isn't much to be gained from lynching Casey. Sure, she could be scum; Casey's subsequent actions have been a little suspicious, but her resignation to being lynched doesn't look like a Culty reaction to me - not on day one, and without any nocturnal evidence.
If, on the other hand, we lynch Petey, we have much more to gain. Several people have shown suspicion towards Petey, and would then be much more likely to be honest Villagers if Petey is a Cultist, and we can look at those animals who have defended Petey. If Petey is town, I'd be inclined to look at those animals who seemed to know this.
More than anything, accusations which result in a lot of arguing and finger-pointing away from the original accusee are, in my book, always worth following up on.
Vote: Petey Panda (darkdragon)
*chomp*
Sorry Gilda, that was an affectionate nibble.
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#211
Posted 23 August 2012 - 08:44 PM
Waterbrick Down, on 23 August 2012 - 07:57 PM, said:
Remember Marcellus's rules? The one with most votes at the end of the day is sacrificed. Right now the most likely candidate for that seems to be either Casey or Pennie, but anything can still happen.
Even I can be the one chosen! But who will water the tulips, then? They need an awful lot of watering... Lazlo likes to relieve himself on them, and it makes them shine bright yellow. It's true, it really does!
Oh, my Lazlo, will I ever see you and your golden
~Now playing as Ellaria Arbour the Druid in Heroica RPG!~
#212
Posted 23 August 2012 - 08:49 PM
Rufus, on 23 August 2012 - 08:34 PM, said:
As outlined earlier, I too think we can learn the most from lynching Petey, and because the sun is slowly setting in this part of Winter Haven, I will also:
Vote: Petey Panda (darkdragon)
Bookie baby, don't forget to vote or there will be no hot wax for you tonight.
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#213
Posted 23 August 2012 - 08:59 PM
Bristol Bunny (Bob): 1 votes (Zepher)
Petey Panda (darkdragon): 3 votes (Eskallon, Rufus, Rick)
Casey Cat (Scouty): 4 votes (Scubacarrot, Tamamono, Professor Flitwick, badboytje88)
Pennie Pig (Eskallon): 4 votes (Dannylonglegs, JimButcher, Sandy, Cecilie)
Wallace Walrus (Masked Builder): 1 vote (CorneliusMurdock)
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#214
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:03 PM

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My flickr: cecilihf
#215
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:25 PM
Cecilie, on 23 August 2012 - 09:03 PM, said:
#216
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:25 PM
Why have I been quiet?
Well, what more was there for me to say? I had addressed all the concerns brought up, to the best of my ability, and explained myself. Are you expecting me to just respond to everything with a quote from something I said before? Repeating the same info over and over seems to needlessly water down our already insanely long discussion.
I've been sitting back, reading and watching everything. I've actually seen some really interesting responses from some of the previously quieter folks (not the silent under-the-radar folks of course). I've been making my notes and if I figure out anyone that can be trusted before I die, I'll send them the info. Right now though, I have zero trust for anyone. Which brings me to my next point...
Why would I "trust"/contact anyone?
I know we have gone over this already and it strikes me as odd that people are just overlooking responses so they can keep asking the same questions over and over. But, since you insist on bringing it up again, I'll address it. I do not trust either of those people I contacted. At the time, they seemed most reasonable/able to look at information rationally, and even though voting hadn't started I felt that my head was on the block (which in hindsight you can see I was right). I only messaged them to say that I don't want to die and feel that I can be helpful to the town. I didn't ask either of them to come in here and defend me, I didn't give them any information to try and convince them of anything (I have no information to give anyway).
Lynching Petey would give us a zillion clues to look at
Well yes, I guess so. I mean, any lynch today can provide us information to help us find the scum. I say any lynch, but that's not really true I guess. Lynching a quiet person will only provide info if they are scum, which is kinda a shot in the dark at this point. We could get lucky, but I doubt it. There are too many quiet people to choose from.
Anyway, that's not the point. The point is that yes lyncing me will give you info based on those who have been attacking me and those who have been blindly voting for me, those who seem to be defending me, and even those who have been splitting the vote. ... well crap, I guess lynching me does sound pretty solid. There's no arguing that.
The only thing I can say about lynching me is that I don't want to die...but who does? I will come up as town in the morning and Pennie will say "omg, but he was acting so strange?" and everyone will sheep around and say "yeah that sucks but now we can annalize stuff." and then, nobody will annalize and the scum will take out another of us in tomorrow's lynch. This is the cycle.
Defenses? They don't matter. People who have made up thier minds will not change votes no matter what the accused says. All an accused person can do is get as many facts out there as possible before the end and hope that the town has a brain.
So I guess all told, if I am to get lynched today it will at least give the town some info to go on. I'd rather not be lynched, of course, because there are less deadly ways to find out if I am scum. If that is my fate though, to be lynched and open up the analytic holes on the scum who've set me up/sheeped/or hidden, then so be it. I really have nothing more to say and I really don't think there is anything for me to defend at this point.
For my vote, I will get it placed in a few hours, but right now I'm undecided. There are a few people that look bad to me for different reasons. I'm not going to name them right now because then you'll just say "oh blame shifting". Like I said, once someone is accused, there is absolutely nothing they can really say without people freaking out.
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#218
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:36 PM
Gordon and Pennie seemed to latch onto the incongruity of Petey's reaction at around the same time, so I don't see one as defending the other. Those saying that Pennie has elaborately set this up so that she's in some sort of prime position tomorrow are frankly giving Pennie too much credit (sorry Pennie). The most vehement suggester is Seamus, who seems to be doggedly (sorry for the bad pun) defending Petey, which is also unusual so early in this ordeal. Similarly plenty of others seem keen to draw us away from this discussion. Casey has indeed been wishy washy, and has indeed acted oddly. Petey contacting Casey and Baxter privately also seems incredibly odd. There was no threat, so why panic? And why them? I know Petey has attempted to explain, but that explanation doesn't sit well.
I agree that I doubt Casey is scum if Petey is too. I doubt Pennie and Gordon are scum even more, but if Petey rolls up town then they both warrant looking at extremely closely tomorrow. Despite his earlier paranoia, actually, as a direct result of his earlier paranoia, Petey now finds himself at the centre of this whole debacle, and in my eyes is the best candidate for a lynch. We get good info no matter what Petey flips, which can't be said for the other candidates.
I Vote: Petey Panda (darkdragon).
in girum imus nocte et consumimur igni
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#219
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:41 PM
Unvote: Casey Cat (Scouty)
Vote: Petey Panda (darkdragon)
#220
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:44 PM
darkdragon, on 23 August 2012 - 09:25 PM, said:
Anyway, responding to the above, you contacted two people, one of whom had been pushing you and one who'd given a soundly neutral response, and told them... just that you didn't want to die? You've already told us all here, and presumably none of us want to die? None of the rest of us are "reasonable/able to look at information rationally"? And you only wanted to tell these scions of reasonableness that you didn't want to die?
*strokes goatee some more*
in girum imus nocte et consumimur igni
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#221
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:45 PM
The bottomline is that no matter who we vote for, it's going to be guesswork. Nobody has had time to gather any evidence, nobody can prove anything about their true alignment - it's just not possible. The best option we have is to hope for a clumsy werewolf to accidentally reveal themselves by tripping on their own words (like in that book, "Harriet Slutter and the Dumbass Werewolf"), but we all know chances of that happening are slim at best.
So let's not call this a lazy town, because the symbolical sun hasn't even risen yet. I know I'm doing my best, and I dearly hope that so are the rest of the villagers.
We can do it!
~Now playing as Ellaria Arbour the Druid in Heroica RPG!~
#222
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:49 PM
Unvote: Pennie Pig (Eskallon)
While Becka's point seems to make sense, no matter which way I put it Petey Panda doesn't seem scum to me at all. Her argument is solid and I really don't think she's a Cultist. That leaves Casey, who has also acted suspicious by flip flopping all over the place, and has now gone silent. By the way, Cameron, I do not think that his going quiet is a sign of innocence or guilt, and speculating about it that way is useless.
I'm not very sure about this. I don't feel very strongly that any of our candidates are Cultists, but what choice to we have? It's the only way to get answers. I have a feeling that the real Cultists are sitting back and letting the mayhem ensue, but what choice do we have? Casey seems like the best option to me, though it very well might not be the right one.
Vote: Casey Cat (Scouty)
Waterbrick Down, on 23 August 2012 - 07:57 PM, said:

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#223
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:50 PM
Scubacarrot, on 23 August 2012 - 09:34 PM, said:
Like I says in the message you replied to, I am not done yet with my analysis and don't yet fel comfortable bringing up my accusations. Why do you keep asking questions about things I've already covered. I think you know how frustrated that makes me and you are just trying to anger me.
Gibson - I will get back to you later, but I know in the end you are just jealous of my super cute panda body.
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#224
Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:57 PM
The Panda has been consistantly unhelpful, and I think animals are right, we learn quite a bit from lynching him... I will therefore switch my vote, as I won't have another chance.
Unvote: Casey Cat (Scouty)
Vote: Petey Panda (darkdragon)
#225
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